Table 1. Generic estimates of expected environmental concentrations (EECs) for non-target organisms exposed to transgenic proteins via cultivation of GM crops. | |||
Non-target organism type | Worst-case EEC | Realistic EEC | Comments |
Above-ground arthropod | Highest mean concentration1 of the transgenic protein in leaf tissue or pollen | 0.2 X the worst-case EEC2 | Several studies3 have shown that the concentration of transgenic protein in most herbivores is <10% that of the GM crop on which they are feeding. |
Soil invertebrate | Highest mean concentration of the transgenic protein in roots | Concentration of the transgenic protein if whole plants were ploughed into soil to a depth of 15cm immediately before harvest | The amount of transgenic protein per hectare is calculated by multiplying the whole plant concentration by the mass of a plant and the number of plants per hectare. The mass of one hectare of soil to a depth of 15 cm is ca. 2.25 x 109 g . |
Pollinator | Highest mean concentration of the transgenic protein in pollen | Average concentration of the transgenic protein in pollen multiplied by the proportion of the crop pollen in the diet | For maize, 50% pollen is a reasonably conservative assumption4; for cotton, a higher proportion may be necessary. |
Aquatic organisms | Highest mean concentration of the transgenic protein in pollen multiplied by the predicted worst-case density of pollen in a pond 2 m deep adjacent to field | As for worst-case, but use average concentration of protein and assume 50% loss of protein through degradation and transport and settling of pollen | Maize produces up to 315x109 pollen grains per hectare during anthesis; 1 mg of maize pollen contains approximately 2,500 pollen grains5. Assume aquatic exposure to cotton is minimal as pollen is not dispersed by wind6. |
Farmed fish | Concentration of protein detected in feed made from maximum proportion of grain that gives a nutritious diet | Multiply the worst-case EEC by the maximum predicted proportion of the product in the feed chain | Testing above the worst-case EEC is not possible if the worst-case EEC is estimated from the feed used in the hazard study. |
Wild mammals | Worst-case daily dietary dose via a diet containing 100% seeds with highest mean concentration of transgenic protein | As for worst-case, but use average concentration of transgenic protein in seeds and realistic proportion of crop seed in diet | Formula for daily dietary dose is (FIR ¸ bw) x C: FIR is daily food intake rate, bw is body weight and C is the concentration of the transgenic protein in the diet. Estimates of FIR/bw for various mammalian diets are in the literature7. |
Wild birds | As for wild mammals | As for wild mammals | Estimates of FIR/bw for various avian diets are in the literature7. |
1The mean concentration of transgenic protein
in GM plants at the developmental stage in which expression is highest
2Raybould et al. 2007 3E.g., Head et al. 2001; Raps et al. 2001; Dutton et al. 2002; Howald et al. 2002; Obrist et al. 2005; Obrist et al. 2006a; Obrist et al. 2006b; Torres et al. 2006 4Babendreier et al. 2004 5Westgate et al. 2003; Depuis et al. 1987 6E.g., Khan & Afzal 1950; Thies 1953; Sidhu & Singh 1961; Llewelyn & Fitt 1996 7Crocker et al. 2002 |